000 AGXX40 KNHC 041810 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 210 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS. NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A REMNANT TROUGH IS ALONG THE SOUTH TEXAS COASTLINE. THIS TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TODAY. LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF WITH SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. A RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. INTO THE NW GULF TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE EASTERN GULF LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS AND OFF OR NEAR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA. A NEW COLD FRONT MAY PUSH INTO THE NW GULF BY THE END OF THE WEEK...MOVING ACROSS THE GULF DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: OFFICIAL NHC MATTHEW FORECASTS AND GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS. BLEND OF GFS-BASED WAVEWATCH...ECWAVE...AND NWPS FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING NORTHWARD BETWEEN HAITI AND CUBA. A 1035Z TOPEX ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED PEAK SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF 14 FT JUST SOUTH OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. BASED UPON NWPS...THE HIGHEST WAVES CURRENTLY ARE LIKELY 25-30 FT JUST SOUTH OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI. THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WILL MOVE THROUGH WINDWARD PASSAGE OR EASTERNMOST CUBA TONIGHT AND REACH SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY. MUCH MORE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE WAKE OF MATTHEW...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE BASIN DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. MUCH MORE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BASIN BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: OFFICIAL NHC MATTHEW FORECASTS AND GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS. BLEND OF GFS-BASED WAVEWATCH...ECWAVE...AND NWPS FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WILL MOVE THROUGH WINDWARD PASSAGE OR EASTERNMOST CUBA TONIGHT AND REACH SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY. AS MATTHEW PASSES THE DEEP WATER BETWEEN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...WAVE HEIGHTS WILL REACH 30 FT OR MORE ON WEDNESDAY. BUT AS MATTHEW MOVES THROUGH MUCH OF THE BAHAMAS...THE SHALLOW WATER REGION WILL LIMIT THE CONTINUATION OF EXTREME WAVE HEIGHTS. PEAK WAVE HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 20 FT ON THURSDAY. AFTER MATTHEW PASSES NORTH OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATE ON THURSDAY...THE DEEP WATER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN ALLOW WAVE HEIGHTS TO BUILD TO 30 TO 40 FT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE HURRICANE. MATTHEW WILL CROSS N OF 30N BY LATE FRIDAY. MUCH MORE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THE WAKE OF MATTHEW...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE BASIN DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ015...CARIBBEAN APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE... HURRICANE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .AMZ021...CARIBBEAN FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING WED NIGHT INTO THU. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING WED NIGHT INTO THU. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING THU. .AMZ117...BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAY SAL BANK... HURRICANE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU. .AMZ119...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N E OF BAHAMAS TO 70W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU. .AMZ123...ATLANTIC S OF 22N W OF 70W INCLUDING APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE... HURRICANE WARNING TODAY INTO WED. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.