000 AGXX40 KNHC 080759 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 359 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED OVER THE EASTERN GULF THIS MORNING ON THE EAST SIDE OF A BROAD UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH WAVE HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 4 FT PERSIST ACROSS THE ENTIRE BASIN...SOUTH OF A RIDGE EXTENDING EAST TO WEST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SW GULF FRI AND SAT...SLIGHTLY ENHANCING THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT DEVELOPS NEAR THE NW YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE EVENING...THEN DRIFTS WESTWARD ACROSS THE SW GULF EACH NIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS. SEAS WILL REMAIN 2 TO 4 FT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING NEAR A PASSING TROPICAL WAVE REACHING FROM EASTERN HONDURAS TO CENTRAL CUBA. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IS ENTERING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN CURRENTLY ACCOMPANIED BY A STREAM OF SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE WEST INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY LATE TODAY...REACH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY LATE SAT...AND EXIT W OF THE AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. FARTHER EAST OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...A LARGE AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 55W AND 58W ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. THE INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE OF THE ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH AS THE TROUGH WILL LIFT TO THE NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH FRI. SE WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT AND 6 TO 8 FT WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH OVER THE WATERS NE OF THE LEEWARDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS ARE 4 TO 6 FT OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH GENERALLY MODERATE TRADE WIND FLOW...AND 2 TO 4 FT IN THE NW CARIBBEAN. LITTLE CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTEND FROM ROUGHLY 31N65W TO THE E CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING NEAR A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO EASTERN CUBA. SEAS ARE 3 TO 5 FT IN THE OPEN WATERS OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS CURRENTLY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY OVER AMZ127 THROUGH LATE TODAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVE NE ACROSS THE REGION WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...FRESH SE WINDS AND 6 TO 8 FT SEAS. FARTHER SOUTH...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...SLIGHTLY ENHANCING EASTERLY WINDS S OF 22N THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH E WINDS WILL PULSING TO 20 TO 25 KT OFF THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THIS EVENING. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.