000 AGXX40 KNHC 070807 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 407 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THU THEN LIFT N OF THE AREA. THIS WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE E TO SE BREEZES ACROSS THE BASIN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OFF SW FLORIDA WILL DRIFT WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH THU...SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NW INTO TEXAS THROUGH LATE SAT...ALLOWING A FEW SHOWERS TO PERSIST INTO THE N CENTRAL GULF. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE ACROSS YUCATAN FRI AND ACROSS THE SW GULF SAT AND SUN...ENHANCING THE RESIDENT LATE EVENING HEAT TROUGH COMMON ALONG THE W COAST OF YUCATAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE SW GULF. SEAS WILL REMAIN 2 TO 4 FT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN HAITI AND NE COLOMBIA CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST...SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO NICARAGUA. THE WINDS THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THIS MORNING AS THE WAVE PASSES...LEAVING MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BASIN. SEAS WILL BE 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT TO 3 TO 5 FT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL EXIT W OF THE CARIBBEAN FRI...AHEAD OF ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU. THE SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IS WEAKER THAN THE FIRST...AND WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE EAST WINDS OVER THE BASIN...WITH OCCASIONAL 15 TO 20 KT OFF THE COAST OF NW VENEZUELA AND NE COLOMBIA THROUGH SAT. A THIRD STRONGER WAVE MAY APPROACH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY SUNDAY. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. AN ALTIMETER PASS FROM AROUND 0245 UTC INDICATED RESIDUALNORTHERLY SWELL PUSHING INTO THE CENTRAL AND NW BAHAMAS OF 5 TO 6 FT. A WEAK RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE ALONG ROUGHLY 31N MAINTAINING GENTLE TO MODERATE E TO SE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION N OF 22N. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING INTO THE APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND TURKS/CAICOS ISLANDS CURRENTLY. THIS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG WITH FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG E WINDS S OF 22N W OF 70W. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY PULSE TO 25 KT OFF THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND THU EVENINGS. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.