000 AGXX40 KNHC 060755 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 355 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A SURFACE RIDGE FROM HIGH PRES OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH THE NE GULF WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH 2 TO 4 FT SEAS OVER ALL. THE PATTERN WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL FRESH E TO SE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF AS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE SW GULF THROUGH THU. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE REGULAR LATE EVENING TROUGH THAT FORMS OVER WESTERN YUCATAN AND SHIFTS WESTWARD OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING WINDS TO PULSE TO 20 TO 25 KT OFF THE WEST COAST OF YUCATAN TONIGHT WITH SEAS TO 6 FT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN WESTERN VENEZUELA AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS WEST. A 0230 UTC ASCAT PASS INDICATED STRONG E WINDS S OF PUERTO RICO ON THE NE QUADRANT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. THE CONVERGENT FLOW IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION SW OF THE MONA PASSAGE. HOWEVER CONVECTION IS DECREASING OVERALL IN AREAL COVERAGE AND PEAK WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. SEAS TO 9 FT PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE N CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BUT WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL EXIT W OF THE AREA FRI. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU NIGHT...CROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT. RIDGING BUILDING IN THE WAKE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE SE AND S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY SAT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. RECENT REPORTS FROM BUOY 41002 NEAR 32N75W ALONG WITH ALTIMETER DATA INDICATE NORTHERLY SWELL OF 9 FT IS STILL IN PLACE OVER THE WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W...GENERATED FROM POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WHICH IS STILL SPINNING OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND. THE SWELL IS REACHING THE EASTERN COASTLINES OF THE BAHAMAS...AND MAY BE POSING A BOATING RISK IN EXPOSED INLETS AND MARINAS. THE MAGNITUDE OF THIS SWELL IS STILL NOT BEING INITIALIZEDWELL BY ANY WAVE MODEL AND THIS SWELL EVENT MAY PERSIST WITH WAVE HEIGHTS ONLY GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MEANWHILE A FEW SHOWERS AND TSTMS CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY TROUGH REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS. WEAK RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE SOUTH OF THE TROUGH. THE TROUGH WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE THROUGH WED...WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG ROUGHLY 31N...MAINTAINING GENERALLY LIGHT E WINDS N OF 22N. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PERSIST S OF 22N W OF 70W BETWEEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. WINDS MAY PULSE TO 25 KT OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA INTO THE APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TONIGHT AND WED NIGHT. STRONG WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THE NORTHERN PORTION OF ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL ENTER THE WATERS N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THU NIGHT INTO SAT WITH 5 TO 6 FT SEAS. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.