000
AGXX40 KNHC 191849
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
249 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

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PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS. NWPS FOR
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RECURRING SURFACE TROUGH WILL SUPPORT FRESH NE TO E
WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ACROSS THE E
BAY OF CAMPECHE EACH NIGHT. WEAK RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
WILL PROMOTE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
THROUGH TUE. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN BELOW 8 FT THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS. NWPS FOR
WAVES. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

TROPICAL STORM FIONA SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND IT IS UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WINDS
OR WAVES IN THE AREA. STRONG TO NEAR GALE TRADE WINDS ARE OCCURRING
IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN NORTH OF COLOMBIA CURRENTLY AND WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH TUE. WAVE HEIGHTS HEIGHTS ARE NEAR 12
FT CURRENTLY...BUT SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY DIMINISH. TWO TROPICAL
WAVES ARE CURRENTLY OVER THE CARIBBEAN...ONE AT 62W AND THE OTHER
AT 74W. THE EASTERN ONE IS PRODUCING NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS OR
WAVES. THE WESTERN ONE MAY BE CONTRIBUTING SOME TO THE ENHANCED
WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. NEITHER ARE HAVE MUCH POTENTIAL
TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. A TROPICAL LOW IN THE ATLC
WILL REACH NEAR 55W ON TUE AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM IN 3
TO 5 DAYS. 
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. MEDIUM-HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

TROPICAL STORM FIONA SHOULD PASS EAST OF AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND IT IS UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WINDS
OR WAVES IN THE AREA. WEAK SURFACE RIDGING EXISTS ALONG 28N
CURRENTLY WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE CONDITIONS PREVAILING. THE RIDGE
WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD ALLOWING MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO
DEVELOP N OF 27N BY SAT NIGHT WHILE WINDS S OF 27N REMAIN LIGHT
TO GENTLE. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH TUE. WAVE
HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN BELOW 8 FT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.