000 AGXX40 KNHC 151750 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 150 PM EDT MON AUG 15 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A RIDGE AXIS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA TO SE TEXAS WILL PERSIST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAINLY MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH SEAS GENERALLY BETWEEN 3 TO 5 FEET OVER THE BASIN THROUGH SAT. DEEP LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS W OF 90W THROUGH WED. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE N OF THE AREA AND LOWER PRESSURE IN SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 10N WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG E-NE WINDS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT. COMPOSITE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS PEAK WINDS DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL BE NEAR GALE AT 30-32 KT. MAX SEAS IN THIS AREA WILL RANGE FROM 10-12 FT IN THE MORNING IN RESPONSE TO PEAK WINDS...AND 8-9 FT IN AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 67W WILL CROSS 72W TUE AND MOVE ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU. A WELL DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 45W WILL REACH WINDWARD ISLANDS WED AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY PULSE ABOVE 20 KT OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS. MODERATE TRADES ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A RIDGE AXIS THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE GEORGIA COAST WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS NORTH OF 27N WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FEET...AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH EASTERLY WINDS SOUTH OF 27N WITH 4-5 FT SEAS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL REACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WED...AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN WATERS THROUGH SAT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED S OF 25N. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.