000 AGXX40 KNHC 150626 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 226 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR BOTH WINDS AND WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A RIDGE AXIS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA TO INLAND OVER EASTERN TEXAS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NIGHTLY LOCALLY FRESH E TO NE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE EAST BAY OF CAMPECHE ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL TROUGH. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO PULSE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH SEAS TO 6 FEET ON TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY. OTHERWISE...MAINLY MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH SEAS GENERALLY BETWEEN 3 TO 5 FEET OVER THE GULF BASIN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. DEEP MOISTURE AND AN UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR BOTH WINDS AND WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT COMBINED WITH DEEP MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 62W WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 42W WILL CROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC FORECAST WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT...THE LESSER ANTILLES WEDNESDAY...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK MAINLY BETWEEN 68W AND 80W WITH 8 TO 10 FT SEAS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. WINDS WILL ALSO PULSE TO FRESH TO STRONG OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS. MODERATE TRADES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR BOTH WINDS AND WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A SURFACE TROUGH FROM 28N TO 31N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W WILL DRIFT WESTWARD TODAY AND DISSIPATE BY TUESDAY. A RIDGE AXIS THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE GEORGIA COAST WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS NORTH OF 27N WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 4 FEET. SOUTH OF 27N MAINLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH SEAS OF 4 TO 5 FEET OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. EXPECT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS TO PULSE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA EACH EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SEAS REACHING 6 TO 7 FT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.