000
AGXX40 KNHC 140614
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
214 AM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR WINDS AND
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM NORTH FLORIDA TO NEAR THE
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER WILL BECOME ORIENTED EAST TO WEST ALONG THE
GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THERE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FRESH SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF
CURRENTLY BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER TEXAS WILL
DIMINISH TO MODERATE BY THIS EVENING AS THE LOW DISSIPATES.
NIGHTLY LOCALLY FRESH E TO NE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE EAST BAY
OF CAMPECHE ASSOCIATED WITH A THERMAL TROUGH. OTHERWISE...AS THE
RIDGE AXIS SETTLES ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...MAINLY MODERATE
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH SEAS MAINLY BETWEEN 3
TO 4 FEET. A DEEP MOISTURE PLUME CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE BASIN
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR WINDS AND
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

AN UPPER LOW SUPPORTING CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH
CURRENTLY ALONG 73W SUPPORTING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
HISPANIOLA WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG
56W WILL CROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY...THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
TONIGHT...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MONDAY NIGHT...AND THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL
RETURN TO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TODAY MAINLY BETWEEN 70W AND 80W
AND CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS AT 20 TO 25 KT WITH 8 TO 10 FT SEAS
EXPECTED. MODERATE TRADES ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR WINDS AND
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 28N/29N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W WILL DRIFT
WESTWARD THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TWO
OTHER SURFACE TROUGHS BETWEEN 60W AND 65W WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS. A RIDGE AXIS THAT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR
BERMUDA TO THE GEORGIA COAST WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO
MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS NORTH OF 27N WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 4
FEET. SOUTH OF 27N MAINLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH SEAS OF 4 TO 5 FEET OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS. EXPECT FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS TO PULSE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA EACH
EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.