000 AGXX40 KNHC 061734 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 134 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NE GULF WHILE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE SW GULF WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE SW GULF...3-4 FT OVER THE NW GULF...AND 1-3 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN GULF. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS ARE AFFECTING THE NE GULF IN REGIONS OF ACTIVE CONVECTION. TROUGHING WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NE GULF THIS WEEKEND. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WEAK LOW PRESSURE TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS TROUGHING...HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AND THE LOW MAY OR MAY NOT REMAIN INLAND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. EITHER WAY...ACTIVE CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE N CENTRAL AND NE GULF DUE TO THIS TROUGHING. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A COUPLE OF TROPICAL WAVES ARE PROPAGATING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MAINLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE ACROSS THE EASTERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-7 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING TO THE N OF THE AREA IS FORECAST TO BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE SECOND TROPICAL WAVE BY SUN NIGHT INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH TRADES INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG BUILDING SEAS TO 8-11 FT AS A RESULT BY EARLY MON. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH WINDS PEAKING AT NEAR GALE FORCE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IN THE GULF OF VENEZUELA DURING THE LATE NIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...STARTING MON NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS STARTING MON NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS...AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS...4-7 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHILE A PAIR OF TROPICAL WAVES MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO FRACTURE AND MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK THROUGH MID-WEEK. THIS WILL BRIEFLY DISRUPT THE RIDGE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.