000
AGXX40 KNHC 041718
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
118 PM EDT THU AUG 4 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR
WINDS AND WAVES.

RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS INLAND CENTERED NEAR
17.2N 89.9W AT 1500 UTC. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE
NORTHER WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG
WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH WINDS OFF THE
YUCATAN COAST WITHIN GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING
ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL
WITH SE SWELL FROM EARL. ASIDE FROM THIS AREA SEAS ARE GENERALLY
IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND 1-3 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS. EARL IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER LAND AND WEAKEN
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST TROPICAL LOW LATER TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY MON. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS FRI AND SAT AS THE
REMNANT LOW SHIFTS SOUTH OF THE AREA BEFORE DECREASING SUNDAY. THE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN
WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR
WINDS AND WAVES.

RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS INLAND CENTERED NEAR
17.2N 89.9W AT 1500 UTC. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS
ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS OVER THE FAR WESTERN WATERS WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS
PREVAILING OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. WINDS ARE IN THE GENTLE TO MODERATE RANGE OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE
IN THE 8 TO 10 FT RANGE OVER THE FAR WESTERN WATERS...4-7 FT OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 4-7 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE FAR WESTERN WATERS WILL CONTINUE
TO DECREASE AS EARL WEAKENS AND MOVES FURTHER FROM THE AREA. AS IS
TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...TROPICAL WAVES WILL PROPAGATE
ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR
WINDS AND WAVES.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS.
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN WATERS...3-4 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS OUTSIDE
THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-2 FT WEST OF THE BAHAMAS. THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.