000 AGXX40 KNHC 010928 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 528 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: MODEL CONSENSUS WITH MANUAL EDITS. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY IS ALONG 69W, MOVING THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN SEA. A POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS, AND THEN REACH THE SW CORNER OF THE AREA IN 96 HOURS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: MODEL CONSENSUS WITH MANUAL EDITS. CURRENT GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE NEAR A TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS ALONG 69W. A POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE POSSIBLE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN 72 HOURS. THE WAVE/POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FOLLOWED BY A BROAD SWATH OF STRONG E TO SE WINDS IN MUCH OF THE ERN CARIBBEAN N OF 14N WITH SEAS OF 8 TO 11 FT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: MODEL CONSENSUS WITH MANUAL EDITS. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS W INTO THE AREA FROM 30N55W TO 30N81W. THE GRADIENT S OF THE RIDGE WILL TIGHTEN AS A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE MOVES W ACROSS THE SRN WATERS THROUGH THU. THE TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND TROPICAL WAVE WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG E WINDS AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN WATERS WITH SEAS TO 10 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH MON. THESE WINDS SHIFT TO W OF 72W MON NIGHT WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS. WINDS THEN DIMINISH TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT AS THE WAVE OR POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE WRN TO INLAND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. FRESH E-SE FLOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BE FRESH TO STRONG ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOONS INTO EARLY EVENING HOURS THROUGH WED NIGHT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. .GMZ025...E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ011...CARIBBEAN N OF 18N W OF 85W INCLUDING YUCATAN BASIN... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED INTO WED NIGHT. .AMZ017...GULF OF HONDURAS... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED NIGHT. .AMZ019...CARIBBEAN FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED. .AMZ021...CARIBBEAN FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .AMZ023...CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.