000
AGXX40 KNHC 180600
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ALONG 30N WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE THROUGH FRI. A THERMAL
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN EACH EVENING THEN PUSH
OFFSHORE INTO THE SW GULF AT NIGHT. THE TROUGH WILL INDUCE A
BRIEF SURGE OF FRESH NE WINDS WHICH WILL BUILD MAX SEAS TO
AROUND 5 FT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS
DURING THE PERIOD. SEAS 4 FT OR LESS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
BASIN THROUGH MON NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5-6 FT IN THE E GULF
TUE INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FL UNDER LONG DURATION OF FRESH
EASTERLY WINDS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE N OF THE AREA IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE IN
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN N OF COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA. ASCAT
DATA SHOWS FRESH TO STRONG TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AND
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W IN
THE W CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT.
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC ALONG 57W WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TODAY...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE THROUGH
WED AND REACH THE W CARIBBEAN THU. A SURGE OF FRESH E WINDS WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WED WITH SEAS TO
8 FT. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH IN THIS AREA WED NIGHT AND THU.
 
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE
IN THE BASIN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF
29N WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE E-SE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE RIDGE
AXIS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. PERIODS OF FRESH TO STRONG E WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA DURING LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH FRI. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW 8 FT ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEK.
 
$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.