000 AGXX40 KNHC 080722 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 322 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: 00 UTC GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STABLE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF WATERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE ATLC HIGH PRES EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE BASIN. A WEAK 1018-1019 MB HIGH PRES CENTER WILL PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN GULF ALONG THE RIDGE AXIS. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM...MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF WITH SEAS GENERALLY UNDER 5 FT. WINDS SLIGHTLY INCREASE TO 15-20 KT ACROSS THE NW GULF BASED ON THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASS. THESE WINDS ARE THE RESULT OF THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRES OVER TEXAS AND NE MEXICO. BUOY 42020 LOCATED IN THE NE GULF IS ALSO REPORTING SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 KT WITH SEAS OF 4 FT. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL MOVE WESTWARD OFF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE SW GULF EACH EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING EACH MORNING. MAINLY FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 4-5 FT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: 00 UTC GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLC WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGHEST WINDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE IN THE USUAL LOCATIONS NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND THE WESTERN GULF OF VENEZUELA. EXPECT NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 32-33 KT ALMOST EVERY NIGHT...PARTICULARLY BETWEEN 06Z-15Z WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40-45 KT. MARINE GUIDANCE INDICATES BUILDING SEAS OF 12-14 FT WITH THESE STRONG WINDS. A RECENT ASCAT PASS SHOWED WINDS OF 25-30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 20-25 KT WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL CROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY AND SAT...REACHING THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SAT EVENING. TROPICAL N ATLC...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WITH SEAS BRIEFLY BUILDING TO 8 FT ACROSS FORECAST ZONE AMZ037 SUN AND MON. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO REACH THIS AREA BY SUN NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: 00 UTC GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STRONG RIDGE...ROUGHLY ALONG 27N...IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA PRODUCING GENTLE TO MODERATE SW-W WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 28N AND MAINLY EASTERLY WINDS S OF 25N. FRESH WINDS BETWEEN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA WILL PULSE TO STRONG EACH LATE AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE EVENING THROUGH SUN EVENING. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 8 FT OVER THIS AREA THROUGH TUE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MON NIGHT. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.