000
AGXX40 KNHC 070636
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
236 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR WINDS. LOCAL NWPS FOR
WAVES.  HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH MON. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN AT FRESH BREEZE CONDITIONS OR WEAKER FOR MOST OF
THE GULF. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL MOVE WESTWARD OFF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO THE SW GULF EACH EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING EACH
MORNING. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL REACH UP TO STRONG
BREEZE CONDITIONS IN LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING TODAY AND
FRIDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING SOME ON SATURDAY. SEAS WILL REMAIN
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W
AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR WINDS. LOCAL NWPS FOR
WAVES.  HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLC WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO
STRONG TRADES OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR
76W WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY. THIS WAVE IS
ENHANCING THE TRADE WIND FLOW AND BRINGING WINDS TO NEAR GALE
NORTH OF COLOMBIA. CURRENTLY...BUOY 42058 OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN IS REPORTING 25 KT ENE...AND STRONGER WINDS LIKELY ARE
OCCURRING CLOSER TO COLOMBIA.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE STRONGEST
LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY MORNING DUE TO THE DIURNAL PULSING OF THE
COLOMBIA LOW. THIS BUOY IS ALSO REPORTING 9-10 FT SEAS WITH HIGHER
SEAS UP TO 13 FT CLOSER TO COLOMBIA. THESE SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
GROW SLIGHTLY TODAY WITH LARGEST CONDITIONS OF 14-15 FT NORTHWEST
OF COLOMBIA BEFORE DIMINISHING BACK TO 8-10 FT BY SUN.

NE TRADES IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC ARE MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE
CURRENTLY AND SHOULD REMAIN THIS WAY THROUGH MON. SEAS SHOULD ALSO
REMAIN BELOW 8 FT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IN THIS AREA.
 
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL BLEND FOR WINDS. LOCAL NWPS FOR
WAVES.  HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STRONG RIDGE ROUGHLY ALONG 27N WILL PERSIST THROUGH MON. FRESH
WINDS BETWEEN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE COAST OF
HISPANIOLA WILL PULSE TO STRONG EACH LATE AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE
EVENING THROUGH SUN. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 8 FT THROUGH MON OVER
THE AREA.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.