000
AGXX40 KNHC 051725
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
125 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A RIDGE WILL
DOMINATE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SAT. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN AT FRESH BREEZE CONDITIONS OR WEAKER FOR MOST OF
THE GULF. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL MOVE WESTWARD OFF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO THE SW GULF EACH EVENING THEN DISSIPATE IN THE
MORNING. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL APPROACH STRONG
BREEZE CONDITIONS IN THE EARLY EVENING. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W
AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A PERSISTENT
RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH NEAR GALE CONDITIONS N OF
COLOMBIA THROUGH SAT. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST AT NIGHT DUE TO
DIURNAL PULSING OF THE COLOMBIAN LOW. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E
CARIBBEAN ALONG 64W WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED AND MOVE
INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THU. THE WAVE IS HAVING MINIMAL EFFECT
ON WINDS AND SEAS EXCEPT FOR AN ENHANCMENT OF SHOWERS NEAR PUERTO
RICO AND EASTERN HISPANIOLA.
 
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A STRONG RIDGE
ROUGHLY ALONG 28N WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT. FRESH WINDS BETWEEN
TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA WILL PULSE TO STRONG
EACH EVENING THROUGH THE WEEK. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN WELL BELOW 8 FT
ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.