000 AGXX40 KNHC 040648 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 248 AM EDT MON JUL 4 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE BERMUDA-AZORES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC THROUGH A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE TEXAS COAST WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH SAT. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL SUPPORT MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH SEAS GENERALLY UNDER 4 FT. THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS WILL BE PULSING WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT AND SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT NW OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE THERMAL TROUGH EACH EVENING AND NIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. AND...AS LOW PRESSURE CROSSES NORTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TUE...THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT NEAR THE TEXAS COAST WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE EXTREME NW GULF WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 5 FT. THE NORTHERN EXTENSION OF A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 80W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SW GULF MON NIGHT AND TUE. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE BERMUDA-AZORES RIDGE ACROSS THE SW N ATLC COMBINED WITH LOW PRES OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEK. LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH 1500 UTC THIS MORNING WITHIN A COUPLE OF DEGREES OF THE COLOMBIA COAST BETWEEN 73W AND 77W. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE DAY AND THEN PULSE BACK TO MINIMAL GALE AGAIN TONIGHT BY 0600 UTC. MAINLY MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. A TROPICAL WAVE IS CROSSING THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING AND WILL EXIT THE CARIBBEAN ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA LATE TONIGHT. A SECOND...WELL DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC. THIS WAVE IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE WAVE AND IS ENHANCING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INDUCED TRADES OVER THE REGION. WINDS JUST NORTH OF THE LOW ALONG THE WAVE AXIS MAY OCCASIONALLY REACH NEAR GALE FORCE THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 12 FT EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER A LARGE FETCH OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS. THIS WAVE WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES AROUND WED NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: WEIGHTED GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE CLIMATOLOGICALLY PERSISTENT BERMUDA-AZORES HIGH EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC AND FLORIDA INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN FORECAST WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS AND SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 27N. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS FORECAST WILL BE OVER THE EXTREME NW WATERS THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS...WHERE WINDS MAY INCREASE OUT OF THE SW TO 15 TO 20 KT SUPPORTED BY COASTAL TROUGHING ALONG THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WITH SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE S OF 27N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS. SOUTH OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND NORTH OF THE HISPANIOLA COAST... EASTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO PULSE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO TUE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.