000
AGXX40 KNHC 031734
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
134 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND SEAS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH SUN. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER MOST OF THE GULF
WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN WATERS...AND
3-5 FT OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
FORECAST THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE
IS EXPECTED TO FORM THIS WEEKEND. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE
NE GULF AND ACROSS CENTRAL TO NORTHERN FLORIDA MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW IS STILL UNCERTAIN AND THIS IN
TURN WILL ADD UNCERTAINTY TO THE MARINE FORECAST FOR THE EASTERN
GULF.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND SEAS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH SAT. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS EXPANDING FROM THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT IN THE AREA OF
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND 4-6 FT ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED GYRE
DEVELOPMENT WILL ADD UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND
AS THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW WILL AFFECT MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE W CARIBBEAN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND SEAS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH MON...THEN MEDIUM THEREAFTER.

A WEAK TROUGH ACROSS THE E BAHAMAS AND A RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG
WITH SHIP...BUOY AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER
THE NORTHERN WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE
SOUTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE NORTHERN
WATERS...4-6 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND
1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST REASONING
THROUGH SUNDAY BUT FORECAST CERTAINTY DECREASES AT THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.