000 AGXX40 KNHC 011726 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 126 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH SAT. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER. HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT WINDS OVER THE NE GULF AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 1 FT RANGE OVER THE NE GULF...1-2 FT OVER THE SE GULF...2-4 FT OVER THE NW GULF...AND 3-5 FT OVER THE SW GULF. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY WITH BENIGN CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. A THERMALLY INDUCED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE IN THE DAY EACH DAY THEN PROPAGATE WESTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE SW GULF EACH NIGHT. THIS WILL HELP FOR LOCALLY FRESH WINDS DURING THE EVENING HOURS OVER THE SW GULF WATERS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PERSISTENT DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE VICINITY OF CENTRAL AMERICA. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH THE EXACT LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH FRI. LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE THEREAFTER. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...MODERATE TRADES OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...2-3 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 6-8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH WINDS AND SEAS INCREASING OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PERSISTENT DEVELOPING A LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE VICINITY OF CENTRAL AMERICA. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH THE EXACT LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A TROUGH PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...4-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN WATERS AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. TROUGHING WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE BAHAMAS MAINTAINING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.