000 AGXX40 KNHC 141720 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 120 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WINDS. LATEST NWPS BLENDED WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT HAS SHIFTED ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF. HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS...REACHING NEAR 3 FT OVER THE SW GULF. A COLD FRONT OVER THE SE UNITED STATES WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR NORTHERN GULF WATERS SUNDAY WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATED THROUGH MON. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT OVER THE YUCATAN AND SHIFT WESTWARD INTO THE SW GULF WATERS OVERNIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING EACH MORNING. OTHERWISE BENIGN CONDITIONS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL OF THE FORECAST AREA. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WINDS. LATEST NWPS BLENDED WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-6 FT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WINDS. LATEST NWPS BLENDED WITH THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE NW WATERS WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE RETREATING EASTWARD. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST REGION. SEAS ARE IN THE 2-3 FT RANGE OVER THE FAR NW WATERS...4-5 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS SHIFTING E OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.