000
AGXX40 KNHC 250640
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
240 AM EDT MON APR 25 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

MODEL PREFERENCE: PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST BLENDED WITH LATEST
GFS AND WW3. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH WED. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE BASIN. MODERATE E-SE WINDS ARE EVIDENT
N OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. A LOW EXITING THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
AND A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS TEXAS INTO MEXICO WILL
TIGHTEN THE PRES GRADIENT IN THE W GULF TUE THROUGH THU...WHICH
WILL SLOWLY BUILD SEAS TO 5-7 FT IN THE W GULF...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS FORECAST ZONES GMZ011 AND GMZ017. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST BLENDED WITH LATEST
GFS AND WW3. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...THE
RESULT OF A FRONT N OF THE AREA AND WEAK LOW PRES NEAR LAKE
MARACAIBO IN VENEZUELA. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL BUILD N
OF THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH WED BUT THE GRADIENT WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK DUE TO BROAD TROUGHING IN NORTHERN S AMERICA.
SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION INCLUDING THE TROPICAL N ATLC. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE FOR
THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMS.
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST BLENDED WITH LATEST
GFS AND WW3. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A LOW NE OF THE AREA NEAR 35N62W PAST
25N65W TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE
AREA LATER TODAY. A WEAK RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ALONG 30N BEHIND THE
FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH WED. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS GENTLE TO
MODERATE N-NE WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BECOMING E-NE IN THE
NW PART E OF NORTHERN FLORIDA. EXPECT GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE
WINDS TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRI.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS2 COLLABORATION OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.