000
AGXX40 KNHC 160554
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
154 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH THE OFFICIAL
WIND FORECAST. LATEST NWPS BLENDED WITH THE OFFICIAL WAVE
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT LINGERS OVER THE NE WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY..AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS N OF THE FRONT...LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS OVER THE SW GULF...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE N OF THE FRONT...2-3 FT OVER THE NW
WATERS...AND 1-2 FT ELSEWHERE. THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN PREVAIL OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE
GULF WATERS. A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE YUCATAN
AND DRIFT WESTWARD INTO THE SW GULF WATERS DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING BY MORNING. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH THE OFFICIAL
WIND FORECAST. LATEST NWPS BLENDED WITH THE OFFICIAL WAVE
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY..
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AS
WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-7 FT RANGE OFF THE
COAST OF COLOMBIA...2-4 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN...AND 4-5 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL PULSE TO STRONG
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT AND OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS AND ECMWF BLENDED WITH THE OFFICIAL
WIND FORECAST. LATEST NWPS BLENDED WITH THE OFFICIAL WAVE
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 27N66W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY..AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NW WATERS N OF THE
FRONT...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NE WATERS...AND LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 10 TO 13 FT RANGE OVER
THE NW WATERS...6-10 FT OVER THE NE WATERS...4-5 FT OVER THE
SOUTHERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE
BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE SPREADING SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...REACHING THE SOUTHERN WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK
WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. LARGE NORTHERLY SWELLS HAVE MOVED INTO
THE NORTHERN WATERS. THE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH SEAS GREATER THAN 8 FT COVERING
MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.