000
AGXX40 KNHC 311721
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
121 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND NWPS FOR
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS PREVAILED OVER THE FORECAST AREA IS
STARTING TO RETREAT EASTWARD. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW COVERS ALL THE
GULF WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE
NW GULF...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE
6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE NW GULF...2-4 FT OVER THE SE GULF...AND 3-5
FT ELSEWHERE. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RETREAT
EASTWARD ENABLING A COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW GULF FRIDAY.
THE FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH SUN WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN ITS WAKE. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE SW GULF W OF THE FRONT SATURDAY. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N
BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND NWPS FOR
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE CARIBBEAN...AND 6-8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. 
WINDS WILL PULSE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS...REACHING NEAR 25 KT DURING
THE LATE NIGHT HOURS AND DIMINISHING TO NEAR 20 KT DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD THIS WEEKEND
WHICH WILL BRING A DECREASE TO WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE FORECAST
WATERS.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND NWPS FOR
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS JUST N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN
THE 8-9 FT RANGE OVER THE NE WATERS...6-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF
WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE RETREATING EASTWARD.
THIS WILL ENABLE A COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS. THE
FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY...AND
MOVE E OF THE AREA MON. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W...
     GALE WARNING SAT.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.