000 AGXX40 KNHC 290703 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 303 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR TAMPA WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE CENTRAL GULF...WHERE THE BOUNDARY BECOMES A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT SOUTHWARD TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. WINDS ARE WEAK WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE BREEZE ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF. THE STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD DISSIPATE ON WEDNESDAY AS SOUTHEASTERLY RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE GULF. WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG BREEZE CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH THE NW GULF EARLY ON SATURDAY AND STRONG BREEZE N TO NE WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT ARE NOT LIKELY TO REACH GALE CONDITIONS. WAVE HEIGHTS SHOULD REACH 6-7 FT IN THE SE RETURN FLOW ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND ABOUT THE SAME IN THE NE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A 1025 MB BERMUDA HIGH AND A 1006 MB COLOMBIA LOW ARE PRODUCING GENERALLY MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH LOCALLY ENHANCED WINDS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS...STRONG BREEZE...AND JUST NORTH OF COLOMBIA...NEAR GALE AS OBSERVED BY ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASSES OVERNIGHT. BUOY 42058 IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN HAS BEEN REPORTING 8-9 FT SEAS...THOUGH THE PEAK WAVES ARE LIKELY 11-12 FT JUST NORTH OF COLOMBIA. THE FORCING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND WINDS NEAR COLOMBIA SHOULD DROP TO A FRESH BREEZE BY THURSDAY. THE GULF OF HONDURAS WINDS WILL ON THE OTHER HAND GRADUALLY INCREASE TO STRONG BREEZE CONDITIONS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SE UNITED STATES. THESE TOO WILL DIMINISH ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. SEAS WILL NEAR COLOMBIA WILL DROP BELOW 8 FT BY LATE WEDNESDAY AND THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD STAY BELOW 8 FT THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC ARE MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE EASTERLIES. THIS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOME EASTERLY SWELL WILL COMBINE WITH THE LOCAL WIND WAVES TO PRODUCE SEAS GENERALLY 6-8 FT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WINDS AND NWPS FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STATIONARY FRONT BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO NEAR 31N73W. WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT A ONLY GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE...EXCEPT NEAR THE NOW DIMINISHING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS BOUNDARY WILL GRADUALLY FADE BY WEDNESDAY. AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT EXITING THE GEORGIA AND CAROLINAS COAST THIS MORNING WILL REACH OUR WATERS SOUTH OF 31N LATE TODAY. NE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL REACH STRONG BREEZE CONDITIONS NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY...THE WINDS VEER AND ARE FROM SE AND S AS A STRONG BREEZE. SUNDAY SHOULD PRODUCE ANOTHER COLD FRONT REACHING OUR NORTHERN BORDER. SEAS COULD REACH 8-9 FT UNDER THE COMBINED INFLUENCE OF THE STRONG BREEZE CONDITIONS AND SOME NORTHERLY SWELL. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.