000
AGXX40 KNHC 131730
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 PM EST SUN MAR 13 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF FROM THE
BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO 21N92W. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
WINDS AND SEAS ARE DIMINISHING ACROSS THE BASIN...AND THE BENIGN
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WED AS A RELATIVELY FLAT
PRESSURE PATTERN PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...WITH NO FRONTS EXPECTED TO REACH THE AREA UNTIL THU. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA IS WEAKENING. SURFACE OBS AND ASCAT
DATA SHOW WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE BASIN...AND THAT
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THU. MOSTLY BENIGN MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION RESULTING FROM A FLAT
PRESSURE PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH NO
STRONG HIGHS OR LOWS NEARBY TO AFFECT PREVAILING TRADE WINDS.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 27N65W IS WEAKENING...AND SURFACE
OBS ALONG WITH ASCAT DATA SHOW WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISHING OVER
THE REGION...AND THAT TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THU.
MOSTLY BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA AS
A RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE PATTERN CONTINUES THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WITH NO STRONG HIGHS OR LOWS NEARBY TO AFFECT PREVAILING WINDS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.