000
AGXX40 KNHC 111800
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST FRI MAR 11 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM LOUISIANA TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS/SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP
AND BUOY DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER MOST OF THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE.
MAX SEAS ARE 8-9 FT IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WHERE THE AREA OF
MOST ACTIVE CONVECTION CONTINUES. THE COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS THEN DISSIPATE IN THE E GULF BY
SUN. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE FRONT WEAKENS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD
ALONG 25N ACROSS THE AREA SUN THROUGH TUE. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 30N70W IS NEARLY STATIONARY N OF THE
AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS/SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP AND
BUOY DATA DEPICT NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...FRESH TO STRONG E WINDS
OVER MOST OF THE REST OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...FRESH TO STRONG
SE WINDS IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS
ELSEWHERE. MAX SEAS ARE 10-14 FT IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
AND 6-9 FT ELSEWHERE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN N OF THE AREA
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RELAXING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER THE REGION WITH WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISHING THIS WEEKEND. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 30N70W PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST
AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS/SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP AND
BUOY DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER SOUTHERN WATERS AND
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. MAX SEAS ARE 6-9
FT S OF 22N OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...3-6 FT OVER NORTHERN WATERS
AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TO DROP INTO THE NE WATERS
SAT THEN SWEEP E OF THE AREA BY SUN. THIS WILL HELP DECREASE
WINDS AND SEAS IN SOUTHERN WATERS THIS WEEKEND. THE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ENABLE
A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS LATE MON. 
 
$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT. 

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.