000
AGXX40 KNHC 110645
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRING WINDS COVER MUCH OF THE GULF
WATERS...EXCEPT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE SW GULF. SEAS ARE
IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE NW GULF...6-9 FT OVER THE NE
GULF...4-6 FT OVER THE SW GULF...AND 5-8 FT OVER THE SE GULF. THE
COLD FRONT HAS SLOWED ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION AND WILL ONLY DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE
E GULF BY SUN. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE FRONT WEAKENS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND PREVAIL THROUGH TUE. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN EXCEPT OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS WHERE STRONG WINDS
PREVAIL...AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-14 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...8-10 FT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-9 FT OVER
THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND
6-8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN
N OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL LOOSEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS WITH WINDS AND SEAS
DIMINISHING OVER THE WEEKEND. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...WITH
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS
ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE
BAHAMAS...3-6 FT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE
BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS WILL ENABLE A COLD FRONT TO DROP INTO THE NE WATERS SAT
BEFORE LIFTING BACK N OF THE AREA BY SUN. THIS WILL DECREASE
WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS THIS WEEKEND. THE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
ENABLE A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS LATE MON. 
 
$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.