000 AGXX40 KNHC 011755 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1255 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OF TEXAS WILL MOVE INTO THE NW AND N CENTRAL GULF WATERS TONIGHT...AND REACH FROM THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA TO THE N CENTRAL GULF NEAR 27N93W BY EARLY WED. SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW GULF IS ALLOWING MOISTURE VALUES TO INCREASE WITH RISING DEW POINTS NOTED ACROSS SEVERAL PLATFORMS IN THE NW GULF. DRIER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING AIR MASS WILL ARRIVE EARLY ENOUGH IN THE EVENING TO PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD FOG WED MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL REACH 20 KT BRIEFLY BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH EARLY WED...BUT WITH LIMITED FETCH AND DURATION SEAS WILL BUILD ONLY TO AROUND 4 FT. WINDS SEAS DIMINISH THEREAFTER AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH STATES AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE AREA FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH. THE HIGH PRES PROGRESSES EAST THU AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT ENTERING THE NORTHERN GULF THU NIGHT...AND MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH LATE FRI WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS. GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL SAT INTO SUN WITH SEAS LESS THAN 4 FT ACROSS THE BASIN. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A SERIES OF RELATIVELY WEAK AREAS OF HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS WITH 4 TO 6 FT SEAS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLC WATERS W OF 55W THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH STRONG WINDS PULSING TO 25 KT OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITH UP TO 10 FT SEAS MAINLY DURING THE EVENING. GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MODEL OUTPUT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. 1025 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 30N66W WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST BY EARLY WED. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF GRAND BAHAMA AND OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST REACHING 25 KT NORTH OF 30N. THESE WINDS WILL SHIFT NW AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH 8 TO 10 FT SEAS. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH AS THE FRONT REACHES FROM BERMUDA TO SOUTH FLORIDA BY LATE WED BEFORE GRADUALLY STALLING AND DISSIPATING EAST OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH FRI. A SECOND FRONT WILL APPROACH BY LATE THU...WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS AGAIN BUILDING N OF 30N. NW SWELL TO 9 FT WILL LINGER N OF 30N E OF 75W INTO SAT. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS ELSEWHERE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.