000 AGXX40 KNHC 280540 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1240 AM EST THU JAN 28 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE TAMPA BAY 24.5N92W TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE. A WEAK SURFACE LOW APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT NEAR 27N84W AND EXPECT THIS LOW TO SOON LIFT NE ACROSS FL. AT LEAST ONE MORE LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT BEFORE SUNRISE TODAY AND RACE INLAND FL JUST N OF TAMPA THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FL STRAITS TONIGHT. MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SW GULF THROUGH LATE MORNING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO AS HIGH AS 17 FT. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT WILL DIMINISH FROM THE W TO 20 KT OR LESS ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT TO LESS THAN 8 FT ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF ON FRI MORNING. EXPECT A POST-FRONTAL SURFACE OF ABOUT 1025 MB HIGH TO MOVE N ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO NEAR 27N96W TONIGHT AND THEN SHIFT ENE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF REACHING OVER CENTRAL FL ON SAT. FRESH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE NW GULF BEGINNING FRI NIGHT THEN DIMINISH SOME OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SOUTHERLY FLOW SPREADS E ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF ON SUN. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF OF MON NIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. FRESH TO STRONG E TRADES ARE OBSERVED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC WATERS BETWEEN 55-82W AT SUNRISE THIS MORNING. THE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY RELAX THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH FRESH TRADES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATERS S OF 16N BETWEEN 5575W TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRI. STRONG NOCTURNAL NE WINDS WILL RESUME ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF COLOMBIA ON FRI NIGHT WITH NEAR WINDS ON SAT AND SUN NIGHTS. A PRE-FRONTAL N TO S ORIENTATED TROUGH WILL MOVE E INTO THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 87W THIS MORNING WITH NW 20-25 KT WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE W GULF OF HONDURAS TO THE W OF THE TROUGH. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON AND ABSORB THE TROUGH ALONG A LING FROM W CUBA TO THE E HONDURAS TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM E CUBA TO NICARAGUA EARLY FRI...AND STALL AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE FROM HAITI TO SOUTHERN NICARAGUA ON SAT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW FLOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH FROM THE W ON FRI. STRONG SE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS ON MON NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A SURFACE LOW WILL RACE NE THIS MORNING ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT IS DRIFTING E ACROSS THE WATERS E OF NE FL. THE COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ACCELERATE EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON REACHING FROM 31N75W TO THE FL STRAITS TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL INCREASE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE TONIGHT TO THE N OF 30N BETWEEN 64-70W. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM BERMUDA TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON FRI AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N55W TO 24N65W AND BECOME STATIONARY SW TO NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON SAT. REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL DRIFT NW ACROSS THE SE BAHAMAS ON SUN. STRONG POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ATLC WATERS N OF 25N TONIGHT...WITH THESE CONDITIONS SHIFTING N OF 31N EARLY SAT. A POST-FRONTAL RIDGE WILL BUILD FROM W TO E ALONG 28N ON SAT...THEN BECOME ORIENTATED FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO NE FL ON SUN AND MON. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.