000 AGXX40 KNHC 231923 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 223 PM EST SAT JAN 23 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. COLD HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER TEXAS WITH DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE W ATLC. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER E GULF N OF 26N AND E OF 87W. THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST THROUGH THE EVENING WITH A RELAXING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND A RESULTING DECREASE OF WINDS FROM W TO E OVER THE BASIN TONIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST TO OFFSHORE THE CAROLINAS IN THE W ATLC BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH RETURN FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER THE W GULF TONIGHT...AND THE EASTERN GULF AS WELL BY MON NIGHT. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE W GULF TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO FRESH SUN AFTERNOON AS A NEW COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE NW GULF. THIS COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE NW GULF WATERS EARLY TUE MORNING WITH STRONG N TO NE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE W GULF MAINLY S OF 25N ON WED W OF THE FRONT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. FRESH NE WINDS ALONG THE N COAST OF COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN CUBA TO NICARAGUA WILL CONTINUE E REACHING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO COSTA RICA THIS EVENING...AND WILL REACH FROM HISPANIOLA TO N OF PANAMA ON SUN. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY FROM N OF PANAMA TO S OF HISPANIOLA SUN NIGHT. REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FROM THE MONA PASSAGE TO THE SW CARIBBEAN ON SUN NIGHT INTO TUE. STRONG NW-N WINDS BEHIND FRONT ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN ARE EXPECTED ARE PRODUCING SEAS TO 11 FT TODAY. STRONG TO NEAR GALE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST OF NICARAGUA THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AS WELL AS S OF HISPANIOLA ON SUN NIGHT INTO MON. FRESH TO STRONG NOCTURNAL WINDS EXPECTED TO RESUME ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA ON SUN NIGHT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS FORECAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 70-78W ON MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY ON WED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...FRESH TO STRONG TRADES SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE SE CARIBBEAN ON WED AND WED NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. HIGH CONFIDENCE. STRONG COLD FRONT FROM 31N68W TO EASTERN CUBA WITH GALE FORCE S TO SW WINDS WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE FRONT N OF 27N. VERY LARGE AREA OF GALE WINDS W OF THE FRONT ALL THE WAY TO THE FL COAST N OF 25N. SEAS HAVE BUILT TO NEAR 20FT ALONG 30N JUST W OF THE FRONT...WITH SEAS TO 16 FT OVER THE GALE AREA EAST OF THE FRONT. THIS SWATH OF GALE FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE ATLC AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST TO NEAR 31N62W TO HISPANIOLA ON SUN. THE GALE FORCE WINDS WILL THEN LIFT N OF THE AREA LATE SUN AS THE PARENT LOW SUPPORTING THE COLD FRONT LIFTS NE OVER THE NE ATLC. THE TAIL END OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY AND REMAIN OVER OUR ATLC ZONES NEAR PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA ON MON INTO TUE BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY BUILDING W OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE E TO NE TO NEAR BERMUDA BY MON NIGHT. BY TUE...RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP E OF FL AND OVER THE BAHAMAS. A NEW COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER THE NW ZONES LATE WED. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED INTO WED NIGHT. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SUN. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SUN. .AMZ117...BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAY SAL BANK... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.