000 AGXX40 KNHC 230628 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 128 AM EST SAT JAN 23 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. POST FRONTAL HIGH DOMINATES THE GULF WITH NW WINDS TO MINIMAL GALE EXPECTED TO SHIFT E ACROSS THE NE WATERS TODAY AND DIMINISH BELOW GALE BY SUNSET TODAY. THE NW FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS LATE TONIGHT WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT ON SUN MORNING. A N-S ORIENTATED RIDGE WILL DEVELOP FROM NE TX TO THE SW GULF TONIGHT...AND SHIFT E ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF ON SUN...WITH THE PARENT HIGH RACING NE PAST BERMUDA LEAVING A RIDGE DISSECTING THE GULF FROM THE FL BIG BEND TO SE TX ON SUN NIGHT. THE RIDGE QUICKLY RETRACTS E ON MON ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO ENTER THE NW GULF ON MON NIGHT AND REACH FROM THE MS DELTA TO THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE AFTERNOON WITH STRONG N-NE FLOW DEVELOPING W OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM THE FL BIG BEND TO THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE ON WED NIGHT WITH NEAR GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST ACROSS THE SW GULF. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. STRONG NE WINDS ALONG THE N COAST OF COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL CONTINUE TODAY THEN DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT FROM W CUBA TO BELIZE WILL CONTINUE E REACHING FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NICARAGUA THIS AFTERNOON...AND FROM HISPANIOLA TO COSTA RICA ON SUN. REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FROM THE MONA PASSAGE TO THE SW CARIBBEAN ON SUN NIGHT INTO TUE. STRONG NW-N WINDS BEHIND FRONT ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD SEAS TO 11 FT TODAY. STRONG TO NEAR GALE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. STRONG NE WINDS EXPECTED IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON SUN NIGHT INTO MON. STRONG NE WINDS EXPECTED S OF EASTERN CUBA ON SUN NIGHT AND S OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON SUN NIGHT AND MON. STRONG NOCTURNAL WINDS EXPECTED TO RESUME ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA ON SUN NIGHT WITH STRONG NE-E WINDS FORECAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 70-78W ON MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...THEN DIMINISHING SOME ON WED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...BUT STRONG TRADES SHOULD REDEVELOP ACROSS THE SE CARIBBEAN ON WED NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. REMNANTS OF A BROAD FRONTAL TROUGH ARE BEGINNING TO LIFT N FROM 22N55W TO 26N69W AND ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A WARM FRONT TODAY AND RACE NE ACROSS THE NE PORTION TONIGHT INTO SAT. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 31N76W TO NW CUBA WILL RACE E REACHING FROM 31N77W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AT SUNSET TODAY...REACH FROM 31N57W TO HISPANIOLA AROUND SUNSET SUN...AND BEGIN TO STALL FROM 27N55W TO THE MONA PASSAGE AT SUNSET ON MON. REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL LIFT N ON TUE AND WED. SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT ROUGHLY TO THE N OF 27N WITHIN 240 E OF FRONT. MINIMAL GALE WESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED WITHIN ABOUT 420 NM W OF THE FRONT EARLY TODAY...THEN BE REINFORCED TONIGHT EXPANDING TO ABOUT 600 NM W OF THE FRONT EARLY SUN. EXPECT GALE CONDITIONS TO LIFT N OF 31N ON SUN NIGHT. ASSOCIATED SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 FT NEAR 31N69W TONIGHT WITH THE MAX SEAS SHIFTING S OF BERMUDA ON SUN. ASSOCIATED WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS W OF 55W ON MON WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER CONTINUING NE OF THE BAHAMAS ON MON NIGHT...AND ACROSS THE TROPICS E OF THE BAHAMAS ON TUE NIGHT AND WED. A POST FRONTAL RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM 31N76W TO HISPANIOLA ON MON. THE PARENT HIGH WILL RACE E PAST BERMUDA ON MON NIGHT RE-ORIENTATING THE RIDGE SW TO PORT CANAVERAL FL. THE RIDGE WILL RETRACT E ON WED AS THE NEXT COLD MOVES IT THE NW WATERS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY. .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO SUN. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SUN. .AMZ117...BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAY SAL BANK... GALE WARNING TODAY. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.