000 AGXX40 KNHC 221834 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 134 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF TO THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 18N95W. A SQUALL LINE IS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE NE GULF WITH ADDITIONAL NEW CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SE GULF MOVING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO RACE SE OF THE AREA THIS EVENING. NORTHWESTERLY STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS FOLLOW THE FRONT WITH SEAS QUICKLY BUILDING...REACHING 17-18 FT NEAR 27N87.5W BY SAT MORNING. WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY SUN MORNING WITH SEAS SUBSIDED TO LESS THAN 8 FT BY SUN AFTERNOON. BY THEN...MODERATE SOUTHERLY RETURN WILL HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF...INCREASING TO FRESH ON SUN NIGHT ACROSS THE ALL WATERS W OF 87W. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF ON MON NIGHT AND REACH FROM THE MS DELTA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE EVENING WITH STRONG N-NE FLOW DEVELOPING W OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT MAY THEN BRIEFLY STALL FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF TO VERACRUZ MEXICO WED MORNING WITH POSSIBLE LOW PRES DEVELOPING ALONG IT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WED NIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. STRONG NE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TODAY WHILE THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE SE CARIBBEAN INCREASING THE FRESH TRADES TO STRONG GENERALLY TO THE S OF 15N BETWEEN 61W-75W TONIGHT INTO EARLY SAT. MODERATE SE FLOW IN THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL CLOCK TO THE SW AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT REACHING THE YUCATAN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS TONIGHT...FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NICARAGUA ON SAT...AND FROM HISPANIOLA TO WESTERN PANAMA ON SUN. REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FROM THE MONA PASSAGE TO THE SW CARIBBEAN ON MON INTO TUE. STRONG NW-N WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS OF 12 FT EXPECTED IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON SAT. STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA ON SAT AND SUN. STRONG NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON SUN NIGHT INTO MON. STRONG NE WINDS EXPECTED S OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON MON. STRONG NOCTURNAL WINDS EXPECTED TO RESUME ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA ON SUN NIGHT WITH STRONG NE-E WINDS FORECAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 70-78W ON MON NIGHT AND TUE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A BROAD STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WASH OUT ACROSS THE TROPICAL WATERS NE OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO. FRESH TO STRONG RETURN FLOW SW THROUGH NW OF THE BAHAMAS AND E OF FLORIDA WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE N OF 28N LATE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N75W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 27N E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N71W TO E CUBA ON SAT. W-NW GALE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD N OF 27N W OF THE FRONT ON SAT MORNING...COMPLETELY DIMINISHING W OF 65W BY SUN EVENING. SOME OF THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD S OF 27N TO 24.5N BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA TONIGHT THROUGH SAT. EXPECT SEAS TO BUILD TO ABOUT 19 FT ALONG 30-31N LATE SAT...WITH THESE MAX SEAS SHIFTING S OF BERMUDA ON SUN NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA W OF 55W LATE MON WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER CONTINUING NE OF THE BAHAMAS ON MON NIGHT... AND ACROSS THE TROPICS E OF THE BAHAMAS ON TUE NIGHT. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE WATERS N OF THE BAHAMAS ON MON INTO TUE WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SE GA COAST LATE TUE NIGHT. THAT FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N78W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WED EVENING...STALLING OVER THE NW PORTION WED NIGHT DUE TO A STRONG CENTRAL ATLC RIDGE LOCATED TO THE E. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SAT. .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SAT NIGHT. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SUN. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... GALE WARNING SAT INTO SUN. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN. .AMZ117...BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAY SAL BANK... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.