000 AGXX40 KNHC 220634 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 134 AM EST FRI JAN 22 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE MS DELTA TO THE MEXICAN COAST AT 21N...AND IS PRECEDED BY A VIGOROUS SQUALL LINE ABOUT 300 NM E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL RACE SE OF ARES THIS EVENING. NORTHWESTERLY SUSTAINED GALE FORCE POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNRISE THIS MORNING...BUT A GALE WARNING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS INTO TONIGHT FOR FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. MAX SEAS OF 16 FT EXPECTED TO SHIFT E ALONG 27N. WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS LATE SAT NIGHT WITH SEAS SUBSIDED TO LESS THAN 8 FT AROUND MIDDAY ON SUN. BY THEN...MODERATE SOUTHERLY RETURN WILL HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF...INCREASING TO FRESH ON SUN NIGHT ACROSS THE ALL WATERS W OF 87W. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF ON MON NIGHT AND REACH FROM THE MS DELTA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUE EVENING WITH STRONG N-NE FLOW DEVELOPING W OF THE FRONT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. FRESH TO STRONG ENE WINDS ACROSS WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL DIMINISH EARLY THIS MORNING. STRONG NE WINDS ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TODAY WHILE THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE SE CARIBBEAN INCREASING THE FRESH TRADES TO STRONG GENERALLY TO THE S OF 15N BETWEEN 64-72W TONIGHT INTO EARLY SAT. FRESH SE FLOW ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL DIMINISH TO MODERATE AT SUNRISE THIS MORNING WHILE CLOCKING TO THE SW AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT REACHING THE YUCATAN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS TONIGHT...FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NICARAGUA ON SAT...AND FROM HISPANIOLA TO COSTA RICA ON SUN. REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FROM THE MONA PASSAGE TO THE SW CARIBBEAN ON MON INTO TUE. STRONG NW-N WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN WITH THE HIGHEST SEAS OF 12 FT EXPECTED IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON SAT. STRONG TO NEAR GALE NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA ON SAT AND SUN. STRONG NE WINDS EXPECTED IN AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON SUN NIGHT INTO MON. STRONG NE WINDS EXPECTED S OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON MON. STRONG NOCTURNAL WINDS EXPECTED TO RESUME ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA ON SUN NIGHT WITH STRONG NE-E WINDS FORECAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 70-78W ON MON NIGHT AND TUE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS BLENDED WITH MWW3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A BROAD STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WASH OUT ACROSS THE TROPICAL WATERS N OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO. FRESH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW N OF THE BAHAMAS WILL INCREASE TO STRONG EARLY THIS MORNING...FURTHER INCREASE TO NEAR GALE LATE THIS MORNING WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 28N W OF 75W AND AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N75W TO THE FL STRAITS TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 27N WITHIN ABOUT 240 NM E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N71W TO E CUBA ON SAT WITH GALE CONDITIONS E OF THE FRONT SHIFTING N OF 31N. W-NW GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP N OF 27N W OF THE FRONT ON SAT MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO SAT EVENING. EXPECT SEAS TO BUILD TO ABOUT 19 FT ALONG 30-31N LATE SAT...WITH THESE MAX SEAS SHIFTING S OF BERMUDA ON SUN NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA W OF 55W LATE MON WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER CONTINUING NE OF THE BAHAMAS ON MON NIGHT...AND ACROSS THE TROPICS E OF THE BAHAMAS ON TUE NIGHT. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE WATERS N OF THE BAHAMAS ON MON INTO TUE WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SE GA COAST LATE TUE NIGHT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ011...NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY. .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SAT. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SAT. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT INTO SUN. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.