000 AGXX40 KNHC 171741 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1241 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT HAVE SHIFTED E OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH ASSOCIATED GALES DIMINISHING OVER THE GULF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE FAR EASTERN WATERS WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8 TO 14 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN WATERS AND 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FALL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE HAS BUILT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. SE RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW GULF THURSDAY. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN W OF THE COLD FRONT WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS HAVE BUILT TO 10 FT OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL AS NW SWELL GENERATED BY THE GALE WINDS EVENT OVER THE GULF WATERS PROPAGATES INTO THE AREA. OUTSIDE THIS AREA...SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN...AND 6-7 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...STALLING FROM NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE NICARAGUA - HONDURAS BORDER BY TUE. THE STALLED FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATED THROUGH WED. NW SWELLS PROPAGATING INTO THE NW WATERS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT EARLY MON. ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL PULSE TO 25 KT DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITH SEAS BUILDING TO NEAR 9 FT BEFORE DECREASING DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS OVER THE FAR NW WATER. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN WATERS N OF 26N WITH SEAS BUILDING TO NEAR 14 FT. FRESH TO NEAR GALE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN WATERS AS WELL AS THE SW WATERS W OF THE BAHAMAS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE SE WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-9 FT RANGE OVER THE NE WATERS...4-6 FT OVER THE SE WATERS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. LOW PRESSURE AREA RESPONSIBLE FOR THE COLD FRONT AND GALES CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY SHIFT NE. THIS WILL SHIFT THE GALES WEST TO EAST OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS TODAY AND NE OF THE AREA MONDAY. ASSOCIATED SWELLS WILL BRIEFLY SUBSIDE BEFORE ANOTHER SET OF NW SWELLS MOVES INTO THE NE WATERS BY MIDWEEK. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. .AMZ119...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N E OF BAHAMAS TO 70W... GALE WARNING TODAY. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.