000
AGXX40 KNHC 210551
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1251 AM EST MON DEC 21 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
 
...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER OVER THE FAR E WATERS...MODERATE
TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NW WATERS...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
OVER THE SW GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-9 FT RANGE OVER THE SE
GULF...AND 5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE WEEK. SE
RETURN FLOW OVER THE WESTERN WATERS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD TO COVER
THE ENTIRE GULF WATERS TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NW
WATERS TUE BUT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AND DISSIPATE BEFORE IT CAN
ENTER THE FORECAST AREA.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA
WITH FRESH TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE N CENTRAL AND E
CARIBBEAN...WHILE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE
IN THE 10-14 FT RANGE OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...8-9 FT OVER
THE N CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...7-8 FT OVER THE E CARIBBEAN...6-7 FT
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 8-10 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE N OF THE AREA
MAINTAINING THE WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
NEAR GALE FORCE TO GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA WITH SEAS BUILDING TO NEAR 15 FT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE
7-9 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...5-7 FT
OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 3-5 FT W OF THE
BAHAMAS. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER THE
FORECAST WATERS THROUGH THE WEEK AND SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO TUE NIGHT. 
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED NIGHT.
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT INTO FRI NIGHT. 

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.