000 AGXX40 KNHC 190531 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1231 AM EST SAT DEC 19 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS OVER THE FAR SE WATERS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS EXTENDING E OF A LINE FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING W OF THAT LINE. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-12 FT RANGE OVER THE FAR SW WATERS...6-8 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN AND NE WATERS...AND 3-5 FT OVER THE NW WATERS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SE OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK. SE RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN WATERS SUN AND SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF WATERS BY MON. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE FAR NW WATERS TUE MORNING BUT IS EXPECTED TO STALL BEFORE MAKING IT INTO THE GULF WATERS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN WATERS...AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 7-9 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR NW WATERS TODAY WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THROUGH SUN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA WHICH WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE FORECAST WATERS. THIS WILL INCREASE WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS WILL PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND DIMINISH TO NEAR GALE FORCE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS TONIGHT THROUGH TUE. AS A RESULT...SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 15 FT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO S FLORIDA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL W OF THE FRONT. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL N OF 30N E OF THE FRONT...MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...AND GENTLE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE W OF THE FRONT OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST WATERS...MOVING E OF THE AREA SUN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE WARNING SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON NIGHT. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.