000 AGXX40 KNHC 070735 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 235 AM EST MON DEC 7 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS. A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS OVER THE SE WATERS AND EXTENDS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 23N85W TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS N OF THE FRONT TO ABOUT 28N...WITH SEAS TO 8 FT BASED ON BUOY OBSERVATIONS. FRESH TO STRONG NW-N WINDS ARE ALSO NOTED OVER THE SW GULF NEAR THE COAST OF VERACRUZ...PARTICULARLY S OF 21N W OF 94W...WITH SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACCORDING TO LATEST ALTIMETER PASS. A DRY COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING OFF THE TEXAS COAST WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TODAY WITH HIGH PRES BEHIND REINFORCING THE PRES GRADIENT ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL PUSH THE STATIONARY FRONT TOWARDS THE SE AND ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS EVENING THROUGH TUE EVENING AND INTO FAR NW CARIBBEAN BY WED. UNDER THIS WEATHER PATTERN...EXPECT INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SW GULF TODAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE 25-30 KT RANGE ALONG THE VERACRUZ COASTAL AREA...WHERE SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8-9 FT. FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY CONTINUE N OF THE FRONT TO ABOUT 26N BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT INTO TUE. HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE N-CENTRAL WATERS WILL DOMINATE THE GULF WATERS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE NW GULF BY THU WITH INCREASING WINDS TO 20-25 KT BY FRI NIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOTED NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND OVER THE GULF OF VENEZUELA. THESE WINDS ARE ALLOWING SEAS TO BUILD TO 8-12 FT. A PAIR OF ALTIMETER PASSES AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS CONFIRMED THE PRESENCE OF THESE SEA HEIGHTS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OBSERVED ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE ATLC RIDGE N OF AREA IS FORECAST TO SHIFT E AND FURTHER WEAKEN. AS A RESULT...WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE BASIN BY EARLY TUE AS THE PRES GRADIENT RELAXES. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL DURING THE PREVIOUS DAYS HAS LIFTED TO THE N AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE SE GULF THROUGH TUE...MOVING BACK INTO THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN BY WED. A SURFACE TROUGH AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL MEANDER ALONG 80W OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH LITTLE IMPACT IN THE MARINE CONDITIONS. TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS AND SEAS TO 8 FT WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY. THEN... MAINLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-7 FT IN NE SWELL WILL PREVAIL THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS AND EXTENDS FROM 30N65W TO 27N74W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. A COUPLE OF LOW PRES HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...ONE IS NEAR 31N63W AND THE OTHER NEAR 28N72W. THE LOWS WILL SHIFT NE AND OUT OF AREA TONIGHT...WITH THE FRONT SINKING SLIGHTLY SE ACROSS WATERS NE OF BAHAMAS...AND MEANDERS THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED FRESH TO STRONG NE-E WINDS N OF THE FRONT WHILE A COUPLE OF ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS OF 8-11 FT WITH THESE WINDS. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ARE NOTED JUST N OF HISPANIOLA. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. COAST THIS EVENING AND MERGE WITH THIS OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON TUE. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION WILL BECOME AGAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE NW BAHAMAS AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY TUE EVENING. THE FRONT WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE FORECAST REGION ON WED WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TODAY AHEAD OF THE DRY FRONT AS PRES GRADIENT RELAXES NW OF CURRENT LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MODERATE TO FRESH NLY WINDS AND SEAS OF 6-7 FT WILL FOLLOW THE DRY FRONT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. WED NIGHT AND SWEEP ACROSS THE N WATERS ON THU. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.