000 AGXX40 KNHC 050754 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 254 AM EST SAT DEC 5 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. STRONG HIGH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS THE GULF REGION WHILE A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS OVER THE SE WATERS. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOW FRESH TO STRONG N-NE WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF WITH SEAS TO 8 FT. SIMILAR WIND SPEEDS ARE ALSO NOTED ACROSS THE SW GULF...PARTICULARLY S OF 21N W OF 92W WHERE AN ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS TO NEAR 9 FT AND A SHIP CALL SIGN VOS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KT AND COMBINED SEAS OF 10 FT. SACRIFICE ISLAND AND VERACRUZ HARBOR BOTH ARE REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY ACROSS THE SE GULF THROUGH SUN EVENING. STRONG N TO NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF WATERS E OF 90W THROUGH EARLY SUN. THEN...A SECOND PUSH OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE AGAIN THE FRONT SE OF THE AREA BY MON EVENING. AT THAT TIME...THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO REACH A POSITION FROM WESTERN CUBA ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS MAY OCCUR NEAR VERACRUZ ON MON. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS. LATEST MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRES RIDGE CENTERED ACROSS NE ATLC WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE...REACHING MINIMAL GALE FORCE LATE SAT NIGHT INTO EARLY SUN AS STRONG HIGH PRES MOVES OFF THE MID ATLC COAST AND INTO NW ATLC. FRESH TRADES AND EASTERLY SWELL IS MAINTAINING SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...WITH THIS SWELL SPREADING THROUGH THE CARIB PASSAGES. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SUN NIGHT...WITH WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH LATE MON. ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND E OF A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD TOWARD CENTRAL CUBA AND ALONG 80W BY SUN EVENING. THE ABOVE MENTIONED STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN BY MON EVENING DUE TO A SECOND PUSH OF COLD AIR. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS. LATEST MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE N WATERS AND STRETCHES FROM 30N65W TO A 1018 MB LOW PRES LOCATED NEAR 27N77W THEN CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE SE GULF OF MEXICO. THE MOST RECENT ASCAT PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS N OF THE FRONT BETWEEN 70W AND 77W AND A GALE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST N OF THE FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE LOW PRES MOVES ENE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REACHING A POSITION NEAR 30N72W BY TONIGHT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE NOTED JUST N OF HISPANIOLA AND THESE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS STATIONARY FRONT AND STRONG PRES GRADIENT TO THE N WILL MAINTAIN VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS N OF THE BOUNDARY THROUGH SUN. MARINE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SEAS IN THE 10-12 FT RANGE. A NEW PUSH OF COLD AIR WILL BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT INTO THE FORECAST WATERS BY MON EVENING. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE WARNING TONIGHT. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.