000
AGXX40 KNHC 251915
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 PM EST WED NOV 25 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
 
...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER MAINE DOMINATES THE REGION. A STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE SW N ATLC AND EASTERN GULF SUPPORTING
MODERATE TO FRESH E-SE FLOW ACROSS THE W GULF AND MODERATE TO
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW SPREADING INTO THE E GULF. THESE MODERATE
TO STRONG WINDS WILL REACH 90W TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT INLAND OVER
SE TEXAS FRI NIGHT WILL STALL...THEN MOVING INTO THE NW GULF SUN
AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST.
   
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SHEAR LINE FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO BELIZE WILL SLOWLY
DISSIPATE THROUGH THU. FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS N AND NW OF THE
BOUNDARY WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE N-NE OF
THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE S
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI MORNING. THE REMNANTS OF A FRONT
IN THE SW ATLC WILL DRIFT W THU THROUGH SUN...AND DISRUPT THE
RIDGE TO ALLOW WINDS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TO DIMINISH
FRI AND SAT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM 25N65W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE
WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A TROUGH THROUGH THU...THEN SLOWLY
DRIFT W THROUGH SUN. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES GALE FORCE WINDS
EXPECTED IN FAR NE WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND 65W
THROUGH THU NIGHT...WITH LARGE WIND-DRIVEN SEAS BUILDING TO 18-
19 FT. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRI THROUGH SUN AS HIGH
PRESSURE SHIFTS EASTWARD AND THE TROUGH CONTINUES DRIFTING W.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THU NIGHT. 

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.