000
AGXX40 KNHC 241820
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
120 PM EST TUE NOV 24 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
 
...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS DOMINATES
THE REGION...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS MOST OF
THE BASIN. A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SW N
ATLC AND EASTERN GULF WED AND THU WITH FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND SPREAD E OF 90W WED
NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT. A COLD FRONT INLAND OVER SE TEXAS FRI
THROUGH SUN WILL INDUCE STRONGER SE RETURN FLOW IN THE NW GULF.
   
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM EASTERN CUBA TO BELIZE WILL BECOME
STATIONARY ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG NE
WINDS WILL PERSIST N AND NW OF THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THU. HIGH
PRES WELL N OF THE AREA WILL STRENGTHEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN
THE WESTERN ATLC...AND SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS IN
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THAT WILL PULSE DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS THROUGH FRI MORNING. GFS GLOBAL MODEL INDICATES A TROUGH
NE OF HISPANIOLA WILL DRIFT WESTWARD THU THROUGH SUN. THIS WILL
DISRUPT THE RIDGE AND ALLOW WINDS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
TO DIMINISH FRI AND SAT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 28N65W TO EASTERN CUBA WILL REACH
FROM 25N65W TO WINDWARD PASSAGE TONIGHT...THEN BECOME STATIONARY
FROM 22N65W TO HISPANIOLA WED. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH
THU...THEN SLOWLY DRIFT WESTWARD THROUGH SUN. STRONG HIGH PRES N
OF THE AREA WILL SIGNIFICANTLY STRENGTHEN NE WINDS...TO GENERATE
A BROAD AREA OF LARGE SEAS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THU
NIGHT...WHICH WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY SUN. WAVE MODEL SHOWS
IMPRESSIVE SEA HEIGHTS DEVELOPING N OF 28N W OF THE FRONT WED
THROUGH FRI...REACHING A MAX OF 18-19 FT NEAR 30N64W THU MORNING.
STRONG TO NEAR GALE NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED W OF THE BOUNDARY IN
NORTHERN WATERS BETWEEN 65W-73W WED THROUGH THU NIGHT. GFS MODEL
INDICATES LOW DEVELOPMENT NEAR 32N65W BY SAT MOVING NE...WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO NEAR HISPANIOLA THAT DRIFTS SLOWLY W AND
BECOMES DIFFUSE THROUGH SUN.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.