000 AGXX40 KNHC 220741 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 241 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS BLENDED USED FOR WAVES WITH MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS FOR OBSERVATIONS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE SE GULF AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT. STRONG TO GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30-40 KT AND BUILDING SEAS TO 15-16 FT WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT BASED ON LATEST MARINE GUIDANCE. CURRENTLY...A SMALL AREA OF GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE ALONG THE NE COAST OF MEXICO AND WILL SLIDE SOUTH ALONG THE COAST TO THE SW GULF WATERS THROUGH SUN NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES EASTWARD. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH FROM THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA TO VERACRUZ MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND FROM SE FLORIDA TO THE NW YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN EVENING BEFORE EXITING THE GULF LATE SUN NIGHT OR EARLY MON MORNING. BY EARLY MON MORNING...MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...WILL SEE FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS EXCEPT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE FAR NW GULF. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SE ACROSS THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND PERSIST THROUGH WED BEFORE SHIFTING NE LATER IN THE WEEK. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS BLENDED USED FOR WAVES WITH MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS FOR OBSERVATIONS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWED FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS S OF 17N TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. BUOY OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE BASIN INDICATED SEAS IN THE 6-8 FT ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS N OF 15N...4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AND 3-4 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL PULSE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH THROUGH THU. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES ARE ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND WILL REACH THE NW CARIBBEAN LATE SUN NIGHT OR EARLY MON...EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO N BELIZE MON NIGHT...AND FROM EAST TIP OF CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS TUE WHERE IT IS FORECAST TO BECOME STATIONARY. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT WITH BUILDING SEAS UP TO 10 FT ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL ON MON. LONG PERIOD N TO NE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE TROPICAL WATERS E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY AND MON. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS BLENDED USED FOR WAVES WITH MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS FOR OBSERVATIONS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. A SURFACE RIDGE THAT CURRENTLY DOMINATES THE FORECAST REGION WITH MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE SEEN PER SCATTEROMETER WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS. A STRONG COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE GULF WATERS WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST LATER THIS MORNING...AND WILL EXTEND FROM 31N75W TO THE SOUTH TIP OF FLORIDA TONIGHT. STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF THE FRONT... PARTICULARLY N OF 30N...LATE SUN NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MON MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS WELL AS WEST OF THE FRONT INTO THE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO 13-14 FT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND TO 10-11 FT BEHIND THE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY SWELL. THE FRONT WILL REACH A POSITION FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA MON NIGHT...AND FROM 25N65W TO THE EAST TIP OF CUBA TUE NIGHT WHERE THE FRONT WILL STALL AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE BASIN BEHIND THE FRONT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SUN. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SUN NIGHT. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE WARNING SUN NIGHT. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.