000 AGXX40 KNHC 090651 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 251 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE BASIN THIS MORNING WITH SEAS GENERALLY 3 FT OR LESS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF SAT...WITH A PUSH OF COOL DRIER AIR SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE SE GULF THROUGH MON. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE NW GULF BEHIND THE FRONT SUN THROUGH TUE. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUE. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 67W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON. GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE WAVE STALLING NEAR 80W AND AMPLIFYING MON NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUE. FRESH WINDS BEHIND A LOW-LATITUDE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO VENEZUELA WILL INCREASE COMBINED SEAS IN THE TROP N ATLC TO 7 FT THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN SUBSIDE TONIGHT AS WINDS DIMINISH. HIGH PRES NE OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRES OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT FRESH E-NE TRADES AND SEAS TO 7 FT IN THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE PRES GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN AS THE TROPICAL WAVE SLOWLY MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE BASIN. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT SUN THROUGH MON NIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. MODERATE CONFIDENCE. A WEAK STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 31N67W TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH FRI NIGHT. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NW WATERS SAT...LINKING UP WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW TO HELP PUSH THE FRONT INTO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS THROUGH MON. LIGHT TO MODERATE W-NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL ALLOW SEAS TO DIMINISH TO 2-4 FT BY SUN. A TROUGH WITH ACTIVE CONVECTION FROM 28N58W TO 20N64W WILL DRIFT N-NW E OF 65W THROUGH SAT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.