000
AGXX40 KNHC 170635
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
235 AM EDT MON AUG 17 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS BUILDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. A
THERMALLY INDUCED TROUGH IS MOVING OFF THE YUCATAN COAST INTO THE
SW GULF. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AN SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
OVER THE NE GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 2-3 FT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE
GULF EXCEPT FOR THE NE GULF WHERE 1-2 FT SEAS PREVAIL. HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH FRI. A
THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EACH EVENING OVER YUCATAN...MOVE W
INTO THE SW GULF AT NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF EACH
MORNING.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AN SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. AS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR...TROPICAL WAVES WILL TRAVERSE THE FORECAST WATERS. THESE
WAVES WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON WINDS AND SEAS EXCEPT WILL
INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR RAINFALL AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. 
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
 
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AN SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN
WATERS AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...3-4 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.