000
AGXX40 KNHC 160532
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
132 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE NW GULF WATERS. A THERMALLY INDUCED
TROUGH IS IN THE SW GULF OFF THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN
THE 2-3 FT RANGE OVER THE SW GULF AND 1-2 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF
WATERS TODAY. THIS WILL PUSH THE TROUGH OVER THE NW GULF INLAND
TONIGHT. AFTERWARDS HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF WATERS THROUGH THU. A THERMALLY INDUCED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP
EACH EVENING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND MOVE W INTO THE SW
GULF AT NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF EACH MORNING. WINDS
AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH
THU.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADES OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE TRADES
OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER
THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE E CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER THE W
CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. LITTLE
CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK.
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
 
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN
WATERS WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...2-4 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK AND LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THU.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.