000
AGXX40 KNHC 151820
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
220 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL 
GULF WILL DRIFT W AND DISSIPATE BY TONIGHT. LATEST OBSERVATIONS 
SHOW LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 
1-2 FT. A RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH 
MIDWEEK. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EACH EVENING OVER YUCATAN 
AND MOVE W INTO THE SW GULF AT NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SW 
GULF EACH MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 
ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH MIDWEEK.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN S OF PUERTO RICO ALONG 
65W WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN...AND MOVE INTO THE W 
CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WILL 
ENTER TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS MON...REACH THE E CARIBBEAN TUE 
THEN MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN LATE WED. SCATTEROMETER 
DATA FROM LAST NIGHT SHOWED FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE 
SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF 15N AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES N 
OF 15N. ALTIMETER PASSES SHOWS MAX SEAS ARE 8-9 FT NEAR THE 
COAST OF COLOMBIA AND LESS THAN 7 FT ELSEWHERE. LITTLE CHANGE IS 
EXPECTED THROUGH THU.
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH ECMWF FOR WINDS AND SEAS. 
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
 
A STALLED FRONT REMAINS OVER NW WATERS NEAR JACKSONVILLE FL. IT 
WILL MOVE INLAND LATE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS WESTWARD OVER 
NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST SUITE OF OBSERVATION DATA SHOWS MODERATE 
TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS OVER SOUTHERN WATERS S OF 23N AND LIGHT 
TO GENTLE WINDS N OF 23N. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 2-3 FT OUTSIDE THE 
BAHAMAS AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. LITTLE CHANGE IN MARINE 
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THU. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.