000
AGXX40 KNHC 191731
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
131 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
 
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR
WINDS. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROUGH OVER NE WATERS EXTENDING FROM NORTH FLORIDA TO 28N92W
WILL WEAKEN BY TONIGHT...BUT SHOULD TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS IN THE NE GULF TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL
ELSEWHERE. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD SUPPORTING GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS AND SEAS GENERALLY 4 FT OR LESS. A TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF
YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE SW GULF EACH NIGHT SLIGHTLY INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WINDS.
MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY
STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU. A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS 55W TONIGHT...MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THU NIGHT. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N
ATLC TUE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WINDS.
MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS ACROSS THE REGION ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 27N. THIS RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 26N/27N
TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THU. EXPECT SOME INCREASE IN SW WINDS IN NORTHERN
WATERS MAINLY W OF 70W MON THROUGH WED AS THE PRES GRADIENT
TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND A MID LATITUDE TROUGH ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
51W WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN WATERS MON THROUGH WED.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.