000
AGXX40 KNHC 170701
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
 
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS FIRMLY IN CONTROL. SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING 
ALONG 26N/27N IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE 
OF NEXT WEEK...SUPPORTING LIGHT TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS 
ACROSS THE REGION. A TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF YUCATAN EACH NIGHT... 
SLIGHTLY INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS IN THE SW GULF.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A STATIC PATTERN WITH HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA AND LOWER PRES 
IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE 
S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND MODERATE TRADES ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE 
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 75W RACING ACROSS THE 
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL REACH CENTRAL AMERICA TONIGHT AND MOVE 
WEST OF THE AREA SAT. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC 
WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC EARLY MON...AND MOVE INTO THE 
EASTERN CARIBBEAN TUE.
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. MODERATE-HIGH 
CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 26N/27N TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA WILL REMAIN 
THE DOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE 
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE RIDGE MAINTAINING 
ITS POSITION ALONG 26N/27N WITH MINOR VARIATIONS AS SHORT WAVE 
MID-LATITUDE IMPULSES PASS NORTH OF 31N/32N. FRESH TO STRONG 
TRADES OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA ARE EXPECTED AGAIN 
TONIGHT. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH ZONE 
127 MON...AND MOVE INTO ZONE 125 TUE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.