000
AGXX40 KNHC 131724
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
124 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
 
MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE
PERIOD. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER NW GULF OF MEXICO IS MAINTAINING
GENERALLY LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND
MODERATE E FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SE GULF. EVENING
TROUGHING OVER THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS
RESULTING IN MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE SW GULF E OF
94W. BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE SEAS OF 1 TO 2 FT IN THE NORTHERN
GULF...AND 2 TO 4 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF.
    
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE
PERIOD. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC RIDGE N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NW
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT FRESH-STRONG TRADES PRIMARILY
OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE 8 FT IN THE S CENTRAL TO
SW CARIBBEAN AS A RESULT OF THE STRONG TRADE WINDS. THE SEAS WILL
BUILD TO 8-10 FT TUE.
 
A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN CENTRAL CUBA AND WESTERN PANAMA WILL
SHIFT W ACROSS THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN TODAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE
APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN THROUGH TONIGHT...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH LATE
TUE...AND ACROSS THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN WED AND THU. A THIRD
TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS WEST OF 55W TUE NIGHT...ENTER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN WED...AND CROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU AND FRI.
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS AND PRIMARY WAVE
PERIOD. HIGH CONFIDENCE INTO TUE THEN MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

MODERATE SW FLOW IS NOTED N OF 30N W OF 77W...BETWEEN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG ROUGHLY
25N AND TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. ELSEWHERE THE
RIDGE IS MAINTAINING LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES N OF 25N AND
MODERATE E FLOW S OF 25N. TRADE WIND FLOW S OF 22N WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE N...ESPECIALLY N OF HISPANIOLA
EACH NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK. OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED
THROUGH TUE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.