000
AGXX40 KNHC 070705
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EST SAT FEB 7 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
 
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH
WILL SHIFT E OF THE GULF TONIGHT THROUGH SUN ALLOWING FOR A WEAK
COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF MON.
THE FRONT WILL STALL FROM WESTERN CUBA TO FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS TUE
AND DISSIPATE WED AS HIGH PRES SHIFTS EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF. ELY WINDS THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE 15 KT OR LESS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WITH THE ATLC COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS WESTERN ATLC THIS THE
IMPACT ON THE GRADIENT OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN HAS BEEN TO
WEAKEN. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR THE EARLIER OBSERVED FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO DIMINISH SOME IN SIZE.
THESE TRADES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUN BEFORE DIMINISHING IN
SPEEDS. OTHERWISE DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT FROM CENTRAL CUBA
TO CENTRAL HONDURAS WILL BECOME DIFFUSE LATER TODAY. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN BY MON NIGHT AND EXTEND
FROM EASTERN CUBA TO GULF OF HONDURAS TUE AND WEAKEN AS IT STALLS
FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NE NICARAGUA BY WED. FRESH TO STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH SUN
LATE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3
BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT FROM 25N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA WILL STALL ALONG 21N BY
EARLY SAT BEFORE WEAKENING EARLY SUN AND DISSIPATING LATE SUN.
HIGH PRES ALONG 31N WILL SHIFT E THROUGH SUN AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD
FRONT MOVING OFF THE SE GEORGIA COAST MON. ACCOMPANYING LOW PRES
WILL MOVE N OF THE AREA EARLY MON...AND THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
WILL SHIFT E REACHING FROM 31N73W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY EARLY
TUE...AND E OF THE AREA WED. LARGE SWELL BEHIND THE FRONT E OF THE
BAHAMAS WILL SUBSIDE ON SUN AS THE FRONT MOVES E AND WEAKENS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.