000
AGXX40 KNHC 031836
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
136 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
 
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.

A STATIONARY FRONT FROM STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO1015 MB LOW PRES
NEAR 21N95W THEN STATIONARY FRONT TO COAST NEAR 19N92W. FRONT E OF
90W WILL DRIFT S YUCATAN CHANNEL AND STALL WHILE LOW PRES DRIFTS
SLOWLY N. THE LOW WILL SHIFT N TONIGHT WITH FRONT MOVING N...THEN
SHIFT NE TO NEAR 27NE OF 90W WED EVENING THEN MOVE E-NE ACROSS NE
GULF WED NIGHT AND EXIT ACROSS FLORIDA EARLY THU. COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE BASIN AS LOW EXITS...REACHING
STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO NW YUCATAN PENINSULA THU...AND INTO THE NW
CARIB FRI.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N
BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA THROUGH THU WITH MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS DURING LATE
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT FROM THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA ACROSS THE N ENTRANCE TO YUCATAN CHANNEL WILL STALL ACROSS
THE CHANNEL AND NW CUBA TONIGHT BEFORE DRIFTING N ON WED. A SECOND
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN FRI. LARGE NW SWELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE S AND SE THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS AND NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES TODAY...REACHING THE GUYANA COAST
LATE TUE NIGHT AND SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED.
 
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.


COLD FRONT FROM 31N65 TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE SE
AND REACH FROM 27N65W THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO NW CUBA
TODAY...WHERE IT WILL STALL...THEN WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DRIFT N
WED. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS ON
THU...REACH FROM NEAR 31N70W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA EARLY FRI
AND WEAKEN AS IT REACHES THE FAR SE WATERS ON SAT. LARGE NW TO N
SWELLS MOVING THROUGH THE SE WATERS THIS MORNING HAVE PEAKED AND
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
LARGE NW TO N SWELL CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE S AND SE ACROSS THE
NE PORTION OF THE AREA WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TODAY INTO WED. 
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED NIGHT.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.