000
AGXX40 KNHC 141901
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
201 PM EST WED JAN 14 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO 23N87W
THEN DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT TO 22N94W TO 18N94W. THE FRONT
WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SW
GULF S OF 22N W OF 95W. ELSEWHERE MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL
W OF THE FRONT AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL E OF THE FRONT.
SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE FAR SW WATERS W OF THE
FRONT...4-6 FT OVER THE NW WATERS...1-3 FT OVER THE EASTERN
WATERS...AND 2-4 FT OVER THE SW GULF E OF THE FRONT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SE. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA THU. THIS FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE
ACROSS THE GULF...MOVING SE OF THE AREA BY FRI. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD TODAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE AREA. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN FRI...THEN
STALL AND DISSIPATE ALONG 20N THROUGH SAT. LARGE NE-E SWELLS WILL
PROPAGATE ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING
THROUGH SUN.
     
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE NW WATERS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-7 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS...8-9 FT OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE
BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY
SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE. A
SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS THU NIGHT. THIS
FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS...MOVING SE OF
THE AREA SAT. A THIRD COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS SUN.
THIS FRONT WILL BE STRONGER THAN THE PREVIOUS FRONTS AND HELP TO
STRENGTHEN WINDS BOTH AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN
WATERS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.